Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Credit Unworthy

Ill-behaved Indian borrowers will now find it tough to hide from authorities


One morning, two years ago, when the officials of the Asset Reconstruction Company of India Ltd (ARCIL), which buys and sells bad loans acquired from banks, turned up at a Bangalore housing complex to repossess a defaulter's flats, they were nonplussed. The defaulter's tenants - a police inspector, a politician and a small-time businessman - were all influential. One had removed all the locks on the outside of the front door. Despite the backing of an order from the chief metropolitan magistrate and a team of cops, the ARCIL officials could do little but request the tenant to open the door. Morning passed into afternoon, and finally the police decided to smash in the door. Alarmed by the noise, the tenant finally opened it. The second tenant threatened the ARCIL team with dire consequences. The third threatened to commit suicide. "We persisted with our request for the lease agreements executed by the defaulting borrower," says an ARCIL official. But the tenants cited the law to prevent the officials from entering the flats. After much discussion, the tenants sought 10 days to find other accommodation, and promised in writing to vacate.

The story did not end there.

"We granted them the time, as the police also advised us," the ARCIL official said. But the very next day, the tenants obtained a temporary stay on the repossession order, from the debt recovery tribunal. The ARCIL officials are still doing the rounds of the court to repossess the flats.

There is no dearth of stories about defaulters using every means possible to scuttle the legal process. A jewellery exporter offered disguised copper alloy as part of the collateral for a loan, and later sued the bank for his 'missing' gold. In another case, ARCIL had to arrange a contingent of 200 policemen and private security guards to repossess a textile manufacturing company's factories.

"We end up getting the most difficult borrowers," says P. Rudran, Managing Director and CEO, ARCIL. Bankers tend to sell whatever they cannot recover on their own, he explains.

The concept of focused asset reconstruction companies for the recovery of non-performing assets (NPAs) was born in early 2000 to help banks. The 63-year-old Rudran, who operates from a tenth-floor office in a suburban Mumbai tower, has his work cut out, judging by the mounting NPAs in the banking system.
Arun Thukral, CEO of credit tracker CIBIL, at Mumbai's busy Churchgate station. He says: 'A bad credit history can mean trouble. If fresh loans won't go to bad borrowers, it naturally improves the credit culture.

Gross NPAs are expected to touch 3.5 per cent, and corporate debt restructuring, 5.7 per cent, of total advances in the banking industry in 2012/13. Loans and advances in the system stood at Rs 50.74 trillion (a trillion equals 100,000 crore) in 2011/12. 

Rudran's ARCIL so far has bought nearly Rs 50,000 crore worth of NPAs in the past decade.

"No one borrows money to default, and not all NPAs are wilful defaults," says S. Ravi, who runs a chartered accountancy firm in South Delhi, and also sits on the board of IDBI Bank Ltd. "You have to separate the wheat from the chaff," he adds.

Ravi's argument can be justified, as even good borrowers can get trapped in NPAs because of ups and downs in the economy, a sudden rise in interest rates, inflation and other reasons beyond their control.

But Indian borrowers can be reckless, too. The track record suggests that a part of stressed assets turns into wilful defaulters. The value of suits filed against defaulters has more than doubled in five years to reach Rs 23,439 crore in 2011/12. 

The alarming trend of borrowers disposing of assets prompted the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to expand the definition of 'wilful defaulter'. Before 2008, it simply meant someone who had the capacity to repay, or who diverted or siphoned off borrowed money. Now, the definition includes promoters who dispose of collateral assets without the knowledge of the lending bank.


Another symptom of bad credit behaviour is the over four million cases of bounced cheques - mostly retail - pending in the courts. The volume of bounced cheques is equivalent to the volume of cheques issued every month in a city the size of Ahmedabad, Bangalore or Kolkata.

Do Indians have a cavalier attitude towards timely payment ? Some in the industry believe so. For example, global credit insurer Atradius, present in India for well over a decade, has documented payment delays in the country, and found that business-to-business payment delays of more than three months stood at 8.4 per cent of domestic invoices in November 2012 - well above the Asia average of 5.5 per cent. And the value of uncollectable (written off) business-to-business receivables was 7.5 per cent in India, compared to the Asia average of 5.3 per cent.

This would make any foreigner hesitate to do business with Indian promoters. "We have seen delays in the IT sector or amongst the small and medium enterprises," says Arun Rajan, country manager, Atradius.

This bad payment habit extends to bank loans. Even some young borrowers, such as students, default, in their first relationship with a bank. Today, gross NPAs in education loans are over seven per cent of advances. As that number is rising, banks are going slow on education loans. Former finance minister Pranab Mukherjee had even proposed a credit guarantee fund to compensate the banks, but it never materialised for lack of budgetary allocation. RBI Deputy Governor K.C. Chakrabarty highlighted the problem of student loan defaults during a lecture at the Noida-based JRE School of Management last year. "I suggest school alumni associations should become active in inculcating ethics and values among students," he said.

Sudip Bandyopadhyay, former CEO of Reliance Money, who now runs a firm called Destimoney Securities Pvt Ltd, says students are not mature borrowers. "Also, many times, the placement is not commensurate with the money spent on a course," he says.

Bankers say students sometimes leave the country without paying up. "We don't have a good tracking system - it is still evolving," says IDBI's Ravi. Some experts suggest that banks could reach out to such defaulters through their parents or by coordinating with immigration authorities.


Another area where borrowers often behave erratically is credit cards. Bankers have turned extremely cautious here: RBI data shows that the number of credit cards actually fell from 23.1 million in March 2007 to 17.7 million in March 2012. Card spend has, however, increased from Rs 41,400 crore to Rs 96,600 crore. "It is better to have a few good customers than many bad ones," says Bandyopadhyay of Destimoney. Bankers say nonsalaried people with an irregular income are more likely to default.

Foreign banks and their non-banking arms, too, have had bitter experiences in consumer finance after the economic downturn in 2008. Fullerton India, a non-banking finance company (NBFC) backed by Singapore-based Temasek Holdings, started with a nearly 90 per cent unsecured lending portfolio around five years ago. It suffered huge losses in the unsecured segment, with gross NPAs rising to over 10 per cent in the overall business. Since then, it has cut its exposure to half in the unsecured segment, especially personal loans.

The only disciplined borrowers, data suggests, are mortgaged borrowers. "We haven't seen people not paying up on a home or car loan in India," says Arun Thukral, CEO of the 12-year-old Credit Information Bureau (India) Ltd, or CIBIL. The bureau keeps records of all banks' borrowers, assigning each a credit score between 300 and 900, where 900 indicates the best repayment behaviour. The score helps a new lender assess the credit behaviour of an individual or company.

Thukral points out that Indians are not as leveraged as borrowers in the US or UK, but adds that credit tracking infrastructure is well developed in those countries, recovery mechanisms are more robust and borrowers are mature enough to admit to mistakes. "Post-2008, we all heard the stories of people leaving their cars on the road or abandoning their well furnished flats for bankers to repossess," says Bandyopadhyay. ARCIL's Rudran says he is not hopeful of such behaviour in India any time soon.

The lack of credit tracking infrastructure in India until recently has contributed to borrowers' lax attitude towards financial obligations. "There was always another bank ready to welcome you with open arms," says a banker who does not want to be named.

CIBIL is still struggling to rope in many institutions to get a better picture of credit behaviour. Four leading cooperative bank associations in Maharashtra joined CIBIL 10 long years after it was set up. "Politicians sell the loan waiver carrot, advising farmers not to repay banks," says an NBFC official who travels extensively in rural India. Banks are wary of lending to farmers as this segment has a history of default.

Sanjay Agarwal, group head for retail business at ARCIL, says there is a tendency in India to resort to litigation to scuttle the recovery process. For instance, he says, as soon as ARCIL buys an NPA from a bank, the borrower approaches the court, challenging the asset transfer.

"There are cases that are unresolved for more than eight years," says ARCIL's Rudran. "Asset recovery is a very tough business. You have to find out new methods to deal with rogue borrowers." He adds that defaulters often make all sorts of excuses and try to stymie the recovery process by approaching the courts.

"The borrower also uses indirect pressure from influential people," says a banker in the NPA department of a public sector bank who has received many calls from politicians. Deepak Gupta, Joint Managing Director, Kotak Bank - one of the few banks that specialise in buying NPAs from other banks - concurs, saying: "Most corporate default cases get resolved only through courts."

P. Rudran, MD & CEO, ARCIL, at the Bombay High Court, where many default cases are heard. He says: 'Some cases are unresolved for over 8 years. Asset recovery is a tough business. You have to find new ways to deal with rogue borrowers.' (Photo: Nishikant Gamre)

The courts are flooded with such cases. Take, for example, litigation between companies and banks over forex derivatives contracts. Many midsize exporters and importers who hedged their foreign currency risk suffered losses when the rupee-dollar rate moved beyond their comfort zone. Companies that had foreign currency exposure blamed the banks for mis-selling, and banks countered by saying the companies had failed to read the fine print. In November last year, the Supreme Court settled the wrangle by ruling that 'wilful default' covers not only normal banking transactions such as borrowing and lending, but also derivatives contracts. The borrowers lost, and bankers can now go after defaulters in derivatives contracts.

Another reason for bad behaviour by borrowers is the multiplicity of lenders. Apart from banks, there are NBFCs of varying shapes and sizes, microfinance institutions, district cooperative banks and regional rural banks and unregistered sources. At a recent seminar, Anand Sinha, another RBI Deputy Governor, cited the example of Andhra Pradesh, where microfinance institutions lent indiscriminately. "This would not have reached the proportions it did if there was information-sharing amongst MFIs," says Sinha.

CIBIL's Thukral says the bureau is gradually helping improve the credit culture, as more and more people are aware that a bad credit history can mean trouble. Banks put credit bureau reports at the top of their checklist. "If fresh loans won't go to bad borrowers, it naturally improves the culture," says Thukral.

With the role of credit reports becoming more important, some see a business opportunity. Two Mumbai-based entrepreneurs have set up Credit Sudhaar, a startup that offers advisory services to improve one's credit score. "Our clients are not only those who made a mistake in the past, but also those who want to maintain a good credit score," says co-founder Arun Ramamurthy, who formerly worked with Citibank.

CIBIL's Thukral says it is a reflection of growing awareness that hassled borrowers sometimes walk in or call CIBIL's helpline to discuss negatives in their report. "The cultural fabric of India is very different from the West," says Thukral. "Our parents and grandparents keep reminding us: jitni chadar ho utnay hi paon phelane chahiye (stretch your legs only as far as your blanket will go)."

Today, the CIBIL effect is not restricted to borrowing . A European bank in India, for example, requires job applicants in India to submit credit reports before it offers them a job. A professional who works for a private company and does not wish to be identified, said his friend was asked for a credit report when he approached Delhi Public School for admission for his daughter.

The possibilities for rogue borrowers to hide are shrinking. Taking the locks off a door or moving to another city won't work much longer. Time to check your credit score.

1 comment:

  1. That’s a great blog! Great focus on Indian real estate industry. Your writing style is truly informative. Just wanted to buzz in about my builder GGproperties. I am happy with flat layout and amenities, although construction did take time just like any other Indian builders due to climatic conditions, and other unavoidable delays. Plus, heard a lot of ill comments about such an established 16 year old builder- wonder why …when they are far better than most of the other property developers, I’ve seen in the market. Refer GoldenGate Properties

    ReplyDelete